Epidemiological situation of a new coronavirus infection (COVID-19) in the Rostov region: analysis and forecast-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

Epidemiological situation of a new coronavirus infection (COVID-19) in the Rostov region: analysis and forecast

Published:2020-09-25 Issue:3 Volume:11 Page:69-78
ISSN:2618-7876
Container-title:Medical Herald of the South of Russia
language:
Short-container-title:Med. vestn. Ûga Ross.

Author:

Kovalev E. V.¹,Tverdokhlebova T. I.²^ORCID,Karpushenko G. V.³^ORCID,Erganova E. G.⁴,Agafonova V. V.⁵^ORCID,Ryndich A. A.⁵^ORCID,Suladze A. G.⁵^ORCID,Kolpakov D. S.⁵,Dolgova N. N.⁵^ORCID,Aleksanina N. V.⁵^ORCID,Aleshukina A. V.⁵^ORCID,Litovko A. R.⁶,Aleshukin G. S.⁵,Denisenko V. V.⁵

Affiliation:

1. Department of the Federal service for supervision of consumer protection and human welfare in the Rostov region; Rostov State Medical University

2. Rostov research Institute of Microbiology and Parasitology; Rostov State Medical University

3. Center of hygiene and epidemiology in the Rostov region; Rostov State Medical University

4. Department of the Federal service for supervision of consumer protection and human welfare in the Rostov region

5. Rostov research Institute of Microbiology and Parasitology

6. Center of hygiene and epidemiology in the Rostov region

Abstract

Objective: monitoring, analysis and forecast of the spread of new coronavirus infection (COVID-19) in the Rostov region.Materials and methods: analysis of data on the incidence of COVID-19 in the Rostov region, obtained on the basis of agencies: Department of the Federal service for supervision of consumer protection and human welfare in the Rostov region, Center of hygiene and epidemiology in Rostov region, Rostov research Institute of Microbiology and Parasitology, as well as the monitoring of information on the Internet sites of the Government of the Rostov region and the regional headquarters for the fight against the spread of COVID-19. Application of the SEIR analytical platform to build a mathematical model for predicting the spread of infection in the Rostov region.Results: the article presents an analysis of the epidemiological situation for the incidence of COVID-19 in the Rostov region, analyzes the effectiveness of preventive and anti-epidemic measures with the ability to predict the development of the epidemiological process in the region.

Publisher

Rostov State Medical University

Subject

General Earth and Planetary Sciences,General Environmental Science

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