Affiliation:
1. Institute for Medical Information Processing, Biometry and Epidemiology LMU Munich Munich Germany
2. Pettenkofer School of Public Health Munich Germany
3. Department of Epidemic and Pandemic Preparedness and Prevention WHO Health Emergencies Programme, World Health Organization Geneva Switzerland
4. UCL Centre for Behaviour Change University College London London UK
Abstract
AbstractBackgroundPublic health and social measures (PHSM) intend to reduce the transmission of infectious diseases and to reduce the burden on health systems, economies and societies. During the COVID‐19 pandemic, PHSM have been selected, combined and implemented in a variable manner and inconsistently categorized in policy trackers. This paper presents an initial conceptual framework depicting how PHSM operate in a complex system, enabling a wide‐reaching description of these measures and their intended and unintended outcomes.MethodsIn a multi‐stage development process, we combined (i) a complexity perspective and systems thinking; (ii) literature on existing COVID‐19 PHSM frameworks, taxonomies and policy trackers; (iii) expert input and (iv) application to school and international travel measures.ResultsThe initial framework reflects our current understanding of how PHSM are intended to achieve transmission‐related outcomes in a complex system, offering visualizations, definitions and worked examples. First, PHSM operate through two basic mechanisms, that is, reducing contacts and/or making contacts safer. Second, PHSM are defined not only by the measures themselves but by their stringency and application to specific populations and settings. Third, PHSM are critically influenced by contextual factors. The framework provides a tool for structured thinking and further development, rather than a ready‐to‐use tool for practice.ConclusionsThis conceptual framework seeks to facilitate coordinated, interdisciplinary research on PHSM effectiveness, impact and implementation; enable consistent, coherent PHSM monitoring and evaluation; and contribute to evidence‐informed decision‐making on PHSM implementation, adaptation and de‐implementation. We expect this framework to be modified and refined over time.
Subject
Infectious Diseases,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health,Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine,Epidemiology
Reference27 articles.
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