Bayesian true prevalence estimation of brucellosis in sheep, goats, cattle and camels in southeast regions of Iran

Author:

Meletis Eleftherios1ORCID,Sakhaee Ehsanollah2,Kostoulas Polychronis1

Affiliation:

1. Department of Public and One Health University of Thessaly Karditsa Greece

2. Department of Clinical Sciences, School of Veterinary Medicine Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman Kerman Iran

Abstract

AbstractAims and MethodsBrucellosis is worldwide one of the most prevalent zoonotic diseases with serious public health hazard affecting domestic livestock and causing economic losses. Objective of this study is to estimate the true prevalence of brucellosis in livestock, specifically cattle, sheep, goats and camels, using a novel Bayesian latent class model, adjusting for the imperfect sensitivity and specificity of the applied tests, where the second test was restricted only to first test‐positive samples.ResultsBrucellosis seems more prevalent in goats and sheep, while the posterior medians and 95% probability intervals (95% PI) for the average true prevalence for sheep, goats, cattle and camels are 18% (4%–43%), 19% (7%–37%), 16% (5%–34%) and 18% (1%–48%) respectively.ConclusionsThe study results indicate that brucellosis is highly endemic in Iran and crucial steps are needed to control and raise awareness about the high public health concern of the disease.

Publisher

Wiley

Subject

Infectious Diseases,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health,General Veterinary,General Immunology and Microbiology,Epidemiology

Reference29 articles.

1. Brucellosis in the Middle East: Current situation and a pathway forward;Bagheri Nejad R.;PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases,2020

2. Identification at Biovar level of Brucella isolates causing abortion in small ruminants of Iran;Behroozikhah A. M.;Journal of Pathogens,2012

3. A policy analysis of agenda‐setting of brucellosis in Iran using a multiple‐stream framework: Health policy and historical implications;Behzadifar M.;Journal of Preventive Medicine and Hygiene,2021

4. Bayesian latent class analysis when the reference test is imperfect;Cheung A.;Revue Scientifique et Technique (International Office of Epizootics),2021

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3