Agriculture and climate change in global scenarios: why don't the models agree

Author:

Nelson Gerald C.12,van der Mensbrugghe Dominique3,Ahammad Helal4,Blanc Elodie5,Calvin Katherine6,Hasegawa Tomoko7,Havlik Petr8,Heyhoe Edwina4,Kyle Page6,Lotze-Campen Hermann9,von Lampe Martin10,Mason d'Croz Daniel1,van Meijl Hans11,Müller Christoph9,Reilly John5,Robertson Richard1,Sands Ronald D.12,Schmitz Christoph9,Tabeau Andrzej11,Takahashi Kiyoshi7,Valin Hugo8,Willenbockel Dirk13

Affiliation:

1. International Food Policy Research Institute; Washington DC 20006 USA

2. University of Illinois; Urbana-Champaign; Champaign IL 61801 USA

3. Agricultural Development Economics Division; Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations; I-00153 Rome Italy

4. Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences; Canberra ACT 2601 Australia

5. Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change; Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Cambridge MA 02142 USA

6. Joint Global Change Research Institute; Pacific Northwest National Laboratory; College Park MD 20740 USA

7. National Institute for Environmental Studies; Center for Social and Environmental Systems Research; Tsukuba Ibaraki 305-8506 Japan

8. Institute for Applied Systems Analysis; Ecosystems Services and Management Program; A-2361 Laxenburg Austria

9. Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research; 14473 Potsdam Germany

10. Trade and Agriculture Directorate; Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development; 75775 Paris Cedex 16 France

11. Agricultural Economics Research Institute (LEI); Wageningen University and Research Centre; 2585 DB The Hague The Netherlands

12. Resource and Rural Economics Division; Economic Research Service; US Department of Agriculture; Washington DC 20250 USA

13. Institute of Development Studies; University of Sussex; Brighton BN1 9RE United Kingdom

Publisher

Wiley

Subject

Economics and Econometrics,Agronomy and Crop Science

Reference30 articles.

1. Direct effects of rising atmospheric carbon dioxide and ozone of crop yields;Ainsworth;Global Change Res.,2010

2. A theory of demand for products distinguished by place of production;Armington;IMF Staff Papers,1969

3. Modelling the role of agriculture for the 20th century global terrestrial carbon balance;Bondeau;Global Change Biol.,2007

4. Forecasting technological change in agriculture: An endogenous implementation in a global land use model;Dietrich;Technol. Forecast. Social Change,2013

5. Climate change projections using the IPSL-CM5 earth system model: From CMIP3 to CMIP5;Dufresne;Climate Dyn,2013

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