Twenty‐five emerging questions when detecting, understanding, and predicting future fish distributions in a changing climate

Author:

Kressler Molly M.1ORCID,Hunt Georgina L.2,Stroh Anna K.3,Pinnegar John K.4,Mcdowell Jonathan5,Watson Joseph W.4,Gomes Marcelo P.4,Skóra Michał E.67,Fenton Sam8,Nash Richard D. M.4,Vieira Rui4,Rincón‐Díaz Martha Patricia9

Affiliation:

1. Centre for Ecology and Conservation and the Environment Sustainability Institute University of Exeter Cornwall UK

2. School of Biological Sciences University of Aberdeen Aberdeen UK

3. Marine and Freshwater Research Centre Atlantic Technological University Galway Ireland

4. Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science (Cefas) Lowestoft UK

5. School of Biological Sciences Queen's University Belfast Belfast UK

6. School of Biological and Behavioural Sciences Queen Mary University of London London UK

7. Faculty of Oceanography and Geography University of Gdańsk Gdańsk Poland

8. School of Biodiversity, One Health & Veterinary Medicine University of Glasgow Glasgow UK

9. Centro para el Estudio de Sistemas Marinos (CESIMAR)‐Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas (CONICET) Puerto Madryn Argentina

Abstract

AbstractThe 2023 Annual Symposium of the Fisheries Society of the British Isles hosted opportunities for researchers, scientists, and policy makers to reflect on the state of art of predicting fish distributions and consider the implications to the marine and aquatic environments of a changing climate. The outcome of one special interest group at the Symposium was a collection of questions, organized under five themes, which begin to capture the state of the field and identify priorities for research and management over the coming years. The five themes were Physiology, Mechanisms, Detect and Measure, Manage, and Wider Ecosystems. The questions, 25 of them, addressed concepts which remain poorly understood, are data deficient, and/or are likely to be impacted in measurable or profound ways by climate change. Moving from the first to the last theme, the questions expanded in the scope of their considerations, from specific processes within the individual to ecosystem‐wide impacts, but no one question is bigger than any other: each is important in detecting, understanding, and predicting fish distributions, and each will be impacted by an aspect of climate change. In this way, our questions, particularly those concerning unknown mechanisms and data deficiencies, aimed to offer a guide to other researchers, managers, and policy makers in the prioritization of future work as a changing climate is expected to have complex and disperse impacts on fish populations and distributions that will require a coordinated effort to address.

Publisher

Wiley

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