Machine learning application for prediction of surgical site infection after posterior cervical surgery

Author:

Lu Keyu12,Tu Yiting12,Su Shenkai12,Ding Jian12,Hou Xianghua12,Dong Chengji12,Jin Haiming12,Gao Weiyang12

Affiliation:

1. Department of Orthopaedics The Second Affiliated Hospital and Yuying Children's Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University Wenzhou China

2. Key Laboratory of Orthopaedics of Zhejiang Province Wenzhou China

Abstract

AbstractSurgical site infection (SSI) is one of the most common complications of posterior cervical surgery. It is difficult to diagnose in the early stage and may lead to severe consequences such as wound dehiscence and central nervous system infection. This retrospective study included patients who underwent posterior cervical surgery at The Second Affiliated Hospital and Yuying Childrens Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University from September 2018 to June 2022. We employed several machine learning methods, such as the gradient boosting (GB), random forests (RF), artificial neural network (ANN) and other popular machine learning models. To minimize the variability introduced by random splitting, the results underwent 10‐fold cross‐validation repeated 10 times. Five measurements were averaged across 10 repetitions with 10‐fold cross‐validation, the RF model achieved the highest AUROC (0.9916), specificity (0.9890) and precision (0.9759). The GB model achieved the highest sensitivity (0.9535) and the KNN achieved the highest sensitivity (0.9958). The application of machine learning techniques facilitated the development of a precise model for predicting SSI after posterior cervical surgery. This dynamic model can be served as a valuable tool for clinicians and patients to assess SSI risk and prevent it in clinical practice.

Funder

National Natural Science Foundation of China

Publisher

Wiley

Subject

Dermatology,Surgery

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