Writing Clearly: The ECB’s Monetary Policy Communication

Author:

Bulíř Aleš1,Čihák Martin1,Šmídkova Kateřina Š2

Affiliation:

1. International Monetary Fund (IMF), Washington , D.C., United States of America

2. Czech National Bank (CNB), Na Příkopě 28, Praha 1, Czech Republic

Abstract

AbstractThe article presents a novel methodology for measuring the clarity of central bank communication using content analysis, illustrating the methodology with the case of the European Central Bank (ECB). The analysis identifies the ECB’s written communication as clear in about 85-95% of instances, which is comparable with, or better than, similar results available for other central banks. We also find that the additional information on risk to inflation and especially projection risk assessment contained in the ECB’s Monthly Bulletins helps to improve communication clarity compared to ECB’s press releases. In contrast, the bulletin’s communication on monetary developments has a negative, albeit small, impact on clarity.

Publisher

Walter de Gruyter GmbH

Subject

Economics and Econometrics

Reference51 articles.

1. Forecasting ECB Monetary Policy: Accuracy Is A Matter of Geography;Berger;European Economic Review,2009

2. Does Money Matter in the ECB Strategy? New Evidence Based on ECB Communication;Berger;International Journal of Finance & Economics,2011

3. Inflation Forecasts and Monetary Policy;Bernanke;Journal of Money, Credit and Banking,1997

4. Bernhardsen , T. 2005 The Neutral Interest Rate http://www.norges-bank.no/upload/import/publikasjoner/staff_memo/memo-2005-01.pdf

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