The Predictive Power of the Yield Curve Across Countries and Time

Author:

Chinn Menzie1,Kucko Kavan2

Affiliation:

1. University of Wisconsin-Madison, and NBER

2. Boston University

Publisher

Wiley

Subject

Finance,Development,Geography, Planning and Development

Reference28 articles.

1. What Does the Yield Curve Tell Us About GDP Growth?;Ang;Journal of Econometrics,2006

2. Does the Yield Spread Predict Real Economic Activity? A Multi-Country Analysis;Bonser-Neal;Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Economic Review,1997

3. Predicting a Recession: Evidence from the Yield Curve in the Presence of Structural Breaks;Chauvet;Economics Letters,2002

4. Forecasting Recessions Using the Yield Curve;Chauvet;Journal of Forecasting,2005

5. Financial Investment Opportunities and the Macroeconomy;Chen;Journal of Finance,1991

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1. The impact of macroeconomic news sentiment on interest rates;International Review of Financial Analysis;2024-07

2. Do Foreign Yield Curves Predict U.S. Recessions and GDP Growth?;Journal of Money, Credit and Banking;2024-06-04

3. On the yield curve and the performance of some popular fixed-income strategies;Expert Systems with Applications;2024-05

4. Unveiling the impact of SFDR on unlisted real estate funds: a J-Curve and panel regression analysis;Journal of Property Investment & Finance;2024-04-04

5. Low interest rates and the predictive content of the yield curve;The North American Journal of Economics and Finance;2024-03

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