Affiliation:
1. Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center U.S. Geological Survey Corvallis Oregon USA
2. Western Water Assessment University of Colorado Boulder Boulder Colorado USA
3. Haub School of Environment & Natural Resources University of Wyoming Laramie Wyoming USA
4. Department of Geography and North Central Climate Adaptation Science Center, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Science University of Colorado Boulder Boulder Colorado USA
Abstract
AbstractEcological transformations are occurring as a result of climate change, challenging traditional approaches to land management decision‐making. The resist–accept–direct (RAD) framework helps managers consider how to respond to this challenge. We examined how the feasibility of the choices to resist, accept, and direct shifts in complex and dynamic ways through time. We considered 4 distinct types of social feasibility: regulatory, financial, public, and organizational. Our commentary is grounded in literature review and the examples that exist but necessarily has speculative elements because empirical evidence on this newly emerging management strategy is scarce. We expect that resist strategies will become less feasible over time as managers encounter situations where resisting is ecologically, by regulation, financially, or publicly not feasible. Similarly, we expect that as regulatory frameworks increasingly permit their use, if costs decrease, and if the public accepts them, managers will increasingly view accept and direct strategies as more viable options than they do at present. Exploring multiple types of feasibility over time allows consideration of both social and ecological trajectories of change in tandem. Our theorizing suggested that deepening the time horizon of decision‐making allows one to think carefully about when one should adopt different approaches and how to combine them over time.