Affiliation:
1. Sir Harry Solomon School of Economics and Management Western Galilee College Acre Israel
2. Department of Mathematics Bar Ilan University Ramat Gan Israel
3. School of Real Estate Netanya Academic College Netanya Israel
4. The Ruth and Bruce Rapoport Faculty of Medicine Technion – Israel Institute of Technology Haifa Israel
5. Department of Dermatology Emek Medical Center Afula Israel
Abstract
AbstractThe objective of the current study is to explain noncompliance to social distancing rules in Western societies in the absence of a stringent law enforcement mechanism and vaccines. In the first part of the analysis, an evolutionary game theory mechanism of two players is developed. The theoretical model assumes the existence of the prisoner's dilemma due to personal inconveniences associated with mask wearing, hand washing, and lockdowns. The model demonstrates that in the absence of sufficient law enforcement mechanism, and regardless of the initial strategy undertaken, one of the three potential equilibria solutions is the convergence of the system to defection of both players. In the second part of the analysis, based on the freedom‐house measures, we provide empirical evidence supporting the notion that law enforcement efficiency is higher in autocratic countries. We show the perseverance of higher projected infection rates per 100,000 persons in democratic countries even 8 months after the outbreak of the COVID‐19 pandemic. Given the well‐known inclination to cooperate more often than expected by game theory, this real‐life outcome of noncompliance is remarkable. Moreover, the recent protests against lockdowns in China might reflect a shift from one equilibrium point (cooperation) to another (noncompliance).
Subject
Development,Geography, Planning and Development
Cited by
2 articles.
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