Prediction of amputation risk of patients with diabetic foot using classification algorithms: A clinical study from a tertiary center

Author:

Demirkol Denizhan1ORCID,Erol Çiğdem Selçukcan2ORCID,Tannier Xavier3ORCID,Özcan Tuncay4ORCID,Aktaş Şamil5ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Faculty of Engineering, Department of Computer Engineering Aydın Adnan Menderes University Aydın Turkey

2. Science Faculty, Department of Biology, Division of Botany & Department of Informatics Istanbul University İstanbul Turkey

3. Inserm, Université Sorbonne Paris Nord, Laboratoire d'Informatique Médicale et d'Ingénierie des connaissances en e‐Santé, LIMICS Sorbonne Université Paris France

4. Faculty of Management, Management Engineering Department Istanbul Technical University Istanbul Turkey

5. Istanbul Faculty of Medicine, Department of Underwater and Hyperbaric Medicine Istanbul University Istanbul Turkey

Abstract

AbstractDiabetic foot ulcers can have vital consequences, such as amputation for patients. The primary purpose of this study is to predict the amputation risk of diabetic foot patients using machine‐learning classification algorithms. In this research, 407 patients treated with the diagnosis of diabetic foot between January 2009–September 2019 in Istanbul University Faculty of Medicine in the Department of Undersea and Hyperbaric Medicine were retrospectively evaluated. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) was used to identify the key features associated with the amputation risk in diabetic foot patients within the dataset. Thus, various prediction/classification models were created to predict the “overall” risk of diabetic foot patients. Predictive machine‐learning models were created using various algorithms. Additionally to optimize the hyperparameters of the Random Forest Algorithm (RF), experimental use of Bayesian Optimization (BO) has been employed. The sub‐dimension data set comprising categorical and numerical values was subjected to a feature selection procedure. Among all the algorithms tested under the defined experimental conditions, the BO‐optimized “RF” based on the hybrid approach (PCA‐RF‐BO) and “Logistic Regression” algorithms demonstrated superior performance with 85% and 90% test accuracies, respectively. In conclusion, our findings would serve as an essential benchmark, offering valuable guidance in reducing such hazards.

Funder

Campus France

Scientific and Technological Research Council of Turkey

Publisher

Wiley

Subject

Dermatology,Surgery

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