Sectoral Shocks and Monetary Policy in the United Kingdom*

Author:

Dixon Huw1ORCID,Franklin Jeremy2,Millard Stephen3

Affiliation:

1. Department of Economics Cardiff Business School Aberconway Building, Colum Drive Cardiff CF10 3EU UK

2. Bank of England Threadneedle Street London EC2R 8AH UK

3. National Institute of Economic and Social Research 2 Dean Trench Street London SW1P 3HE UK

Abstract

AbstractWe examine the extent to which monetary policy should respond to movements in sectoral inflation rates using a Generalized Taylor model that takes specific account of the sectoral make‐up of the consumer price index. We calibrate the model for each sector using the UK consumer price microdata. We find that a policy rule allowing for different responses to inflation in different sectors outperforms a rule targeting only aggregate inflation, as does a rule responding only to core inflation. However, we find that the optimal sectoral rule only leads to a small absolute improvement in terms of extra consumption.

Publisher

Wiley

Subject

Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty,Economics and Econometrics,Social Sciences (miscellaneous),Statistics and Probability

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