Identifying Politically Connected Firms: A Machine Learning Approach*

Author:

Titl Vitezslav123ORCID,Mazrekaj Deni345ORCID,Schiltz Fritz3

Affiliation:

1. Utrecht University School of Economics, Utrecht University, Kriekenpitplein 21‐22 Utrecht 3584 EC The Netherlands

2. Department of Economics, Faculty of Law Charles University Prague Czechia

3. Leuven Economics of Education Research (LEER) KU Leuven, Naamsestraat 69 Leuven 3000

4. Department of Sociology Utrecht University, Padualaan 14 Utrecht 3584 CH The Netherlands

5. Nuffield College University of Oxford, New Road OX1 1NF Oxford UK

Abstract

This article introduces machine learning techniques to identify politically connected firms. By assembling information from publicly available sources and the Orbis company database, we constructed a novel firm population dataset from Czechia in which various forms of political connections can be determined. The data about firms' connections are unique and comprehensive. They include political donations by the firm, having members of managerial boards who donated to a political party, and having members of boards who ran for political office. The results indicate that over 85% of firms with political connections can be accurately identified by the proposed algorithms. The model obtains this high accuracy by using only firm‐level financial and industry indicators that are widely available in most countries. These findings suggest that machine learning algorithms could be used by public institutions to improve the identification of politically connected firms with potentially large conflicts of interest.

Funder

Fonds Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek

H2020 European Research Council

HORIZON EUROPE Culture, Creativity and Inclusive society

Publisher

Wiley

Subject

Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty,Economics and Econometrics,Social Sciences (miscellaneous),Statistics and Probability

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