Drought‐Reliefs and Partisanship

Author:

Boffa Federico12,Cavalcanti Francisco3,Fons‐Rosen Christian45,Piolatto Amedeo678

Affiliation:

1. Free University of Bozen/Bolzano Bolzano Italy

2. Collegio Carlo Alberto Turin Italy

3. Department of Economics Pontifícia Universidade Católica do Rio de Janeiro PUC‐Rio Rio de Janeiro Brazil

4. University of California at Merced California Merced USA

5. CEPR MPI Munich Munich Spain

6. Autonomous University of Barcelona (UAB) Barcelona Spain

7. Barcelona School of Economics (BSE) Barcelona Spain

8. Barcelona Institute of Economics (IEB) Barcelona Spain

Abstract

AbstractWe combine a model of symmetric information with selfish and office‐motivated politicians and a Regression Discontinuity Design analysis based on close municipal elections to study partisan bias in the allocation of drought aid relief in Brazil. We identify a novel pattern of distributive politics whereby partisan bias materialises only before municipal elections, while it disappears before presidential elections. Furthermore, before mayoral elections, it fades for extreme (high or low) aridity levels while persisting for moderate levels. Our empirical results show that in this case alignment increases the probability of receiving aid relief by a factor of two (equivalent to 18.1 percentage points).

Funder

Spanish State Research Agency

Secretary of State for Research, Development and Innovation

Publisher

Wiley

Subject

Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty,Economics and Econometrics,Social Sciences (miscellaneous),Statistics and Probability

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