Modelling the potential distribution of the common impala (Aepyceros melampus melampus) across Africa's changing climate

Abstract

AbstractThe common impala (Aepyceros melampus melampus), a medium‐sized herbivore in Eastern and Southern African savannahs, faces challenges from climate change. Using a species distribution model, we found temperature of the driest quarter (30.32%) and wettest month precipitation (20.36%) as the most influential factors. Surprisingly, land cover change had less impact (0.25%). Projections suggest a significant habitat reduction for impalas by 2050, with estimated losses of 18.12% (SSP‐126) and 25.62% (SSP‐585). These findings highlight climate change and land cover alterations as potential threats to impala survival, impacting crucial resources like forage and water. This research guides conservation efforts for common impala.