Conventional wisdom, meta‐analysis, and research revision in economics

Author:

Gechert Sebastian12ORCID,Mey Bianka1ORCID,Opatrny Matej3,Havranek Tomas456,Stanley T. D.17ORCID,Bom Pedro R. D.8ORCID,Doucouliagos Hristos79,Heimberger Philipp210ORCID,Irsova Zuzana3,Rachinger Heiko J.11

Affiliation:

1. Department of Economics and Business Chemnitz University of Technology Chemnitz Germany

2. FMM Düsseldorf Germany

3. Anglo‐American University Prague Czech Republic

4. Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies Charles University Prague Czech Republic

5. CEPR London UK

6. Meta‐Research Innovation Center at Stanford Stanford California USA

7. Department of Economics Deakin University Melbourne Australia

8. Deusto Business School University of Deusto Bizkaia Spain

9. IZA Bonn Bonn Germany

10. Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (WIIW) Vienna Austria

11. Universitat de les Illes Balears Mallorca, Palma Spain

Abstract

AbstractOver the past several decades, meta‐analysis has emerged as a widely accepted tool to understand economics research. Meta‐analyses often challenge the established conventional wisdom of their respective fields. We systematically review a wide range of influential meta‐analyses in economics and compare them to “conventional wisdom.” After correcting for observable biases, the empirical economic effects are typically much closer to zero and sometimes switch signs. Typically, the relative reduction in effect sizes is 45%–60%.

Publisher

Wiley

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