Thermal response of freshwater ciliates: Can they survive at elevated lake temperatures?

Abstract

Abstract Ciliates are a well‐defined, species‐rich, versatile group of heterotrophic and mixotrophic protists. Their response to increased temperature during global warming is critical for the structure and functioning of freshwater food webs. I conducted a meta‐analysis of the literature from field studies and experimental evidence to assess the parameters characterising the thermal response of freshwater ciliates. The shape of the thermal performance curve predicts the ciliates' survival at supraoptimal temperatures (i.e., the width of the thermal safety margin). The ciliates' typical thermal safety margin is c. 5°C. More than two‐thirds of the freshwater ciliates dwelling permanently or occasionally in the pelagial cannot survive at temperatures exceeding 30°C. Likewise, cold‐stenothermic species, which represent a significant fraction of euplanktonic ciliates, cannot survive by evolutionary adaptation to rapidly warming environments. The statistical analysis revealed that the ciliates' thermal performance is affected by their planktonic lifestyle (euplanktonic vs. tychoplanktonic), ability to form cysts and nutritional ecology. Bactivorous ciliates have the widest temperature niche, and algivorous ciliates have the narrowest temperature niche. Phenotypic plasticity and genetic variation, favouring the selection of pre‐adapted species in a new environment, are widespread among freshwater ciliates. However, the lack of evidence for the temperature optima and imprecisely defined tolerance limits of most species hampers the present analysis. The extent of acclimation and adaptation requires further research with more ciliate species than the few chosen thus far. Recent eco‐evolutionary experimental work and modelling approaches have demonstrated that the ciliates' thermal responses follow general trends predicted by the metabolic theory of ecology and mechanistic functions inherent in enzyme kinetics. The present analysis identified current knowledge gaps and avenues for future research that may serve as a model study for other biota. Thermal adaptation may conflict with adaptation to other stressors (predators, food availability, pH), making general predictions on the future role of freshwater ciliates in a warmer environment difficult, if not impossible, at present.