Exploring the impact of online news sentiment and relevance on stock market risks: A signalling theory perspective

Abstract

AbstractBased on the frame theory and signalling theory, this article uses financial technology (fintech) to analyse online news sentiment and proposes the relevant hypothesis of the influence of news relevance on stock market risk, and conducts an empirical study on the VAR model of the stock return rate by using the news relevance and news sentiment data of the Uqer database. The results show a two‐way Granger causality between news sentiment and stock returns. News relevance is not Granger causality of yield but Granger causality of news sentiment. In addition, combined with the impulse response, variance decomposition, and relevance analysis, it is found that the news relevance degree positively affects news sentiment and then indirectly affects the stock return rate. Our findings indicate that news relevance is an essential variable in analysing online text sentiment and stock market volatility, and online news will increase the volatility of stock market risk. These results contribute to the financialization literature and guide fintech enterprises to balance market risk by combining signalling and frame theory to improve news relevance.