Dynamic preferential trade agreement formation and the role of political economy

Author:

Chi Eric Conglin1,Yildiz Halis Murat2

Affiliation:

1. Department of Economics and Finance University of Guelph Guelph Ontario Canada

2. Department of Economics Toronto Metropolitan University Toronto Ontario Canada

Abstract

AbstractUsing a dynamic preferential trade agreement (PTA) formation model, we show that political biases in exporting and import‐competing sectors substantially impact the extent of PTA formation. While both exclusion and free riding incentives constrain the expansion to global free trade in a free trade agreement (FTA) game, only the former incentive arises in a customs union (CU) game. When we endogenize the choice between FTAs and CUs, the tension between the flexibility benefit of FTAs and the coordination benefit of CUs reveals that FTAs always serve as PTA building blocks while CUs may serve as PTA building or stumbling blocks.

Publisher

Wiley

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