Integrated predictive artificial neural network fatigue endurance limit model for asphalt concrete pavements

Abstract

Asphalt endurance limit is a strain value if experienced by asphalt pavement layer, no accumulated damage will occur and is directly related to asphalt healing. Therefore, if the pavement experiences this value of strain, or lower, no fatigue damage would accumulate within that pavement section. Beam fatigue test data conducted under the NCHRP Project 9-44A were extracted and utilized to create an artificial neural network predictive model (ANN) to determine the endurance limit strain values for conventional asphalt concrete pavements. The developed ANN model architecture as well as how to utilize it to predict the endurance limit were demonstrated and discussed in detail. Also, a stand-alone equation that is capable in the prediction of the endurance limit strain value, separate from the ANN model environment, was derived utilizing the eclectic extraction approach. The model training and validation data included 934 beam fatigue laboratory data points, as extracted from NCHRP Project 9-44A report. The developed model was able to determine the endurance limit strain value as a function of the stiffness ratio, number of cycles to failure, initial stiffness and rest period, and had a reasonable coefficient of determination (R2) value, which indicates the reliability of both the developed ANN model and the stand-alone equation. Furthermore, a correlation between the endurance limit strain values, as predicted utilizing the generated regression model under the NCHRP project 944-A, and the endurance limit strain values predicted utilizing the stand-alone ANN derived equation was found with a high R2 value.