A Comparison between Agent-Based and GIS-Based Tsunami Evacuation Simulations: A Case Study for Tofino, BC

Author:

Kim Joseph1,Takabatake Tomoyuki2,NISTOR Ioan34,Shibayama Tomoya5

Affiliation:

1. University of Ottawa Faculty of Engineering, 120472, Civil Engineering, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada;

2. Waseda University - Waseda Campus, 13148, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Room: 60-150, 3-4-1 Okubo, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo 169-8555, Japan, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan, 169-8555;

3. University of Ottawa, Civil Engineering, 161 Louis Pasteur, CBY, Colonel By Building, Room B111K, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, K1N 6N5, ,

4. University of Ottawa, Civil Engineering, 161 Louis Pasteur, Colonel By Building, Room B111K, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, K1N 6N5, , ;

5. Waseda University - Waseda Campus, 13148, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan;

Abstract

Soft measures such as evacuation planning are recommended to mitigate the loss of life during tsunamis. Two types of evacuation models are widely used: (1) Agent-based modelling (ABM) defines sets of rules that individual agents in a simulation follow during a simulated evacuation. (2) Geographical information systems (GIS) are more accessible to city planners, but cannot incorporate the dynamic behaviours found in ABMs. The two evacuation modelling methodologies were compared through a case study by assessing the state of evacuation preparedness and investigating potential mitigation options. The two models showed different magnitudes for mortality rates and facility demand but had similar trends. Both models agreed on the best solution to reduce the loss of life for the community. GIS may serve as a useful tool for initial investigation or as a validation tool for ABMs. ABMs are recommended for use when modelling evacuation until GIS methodologies are further developed.

Publisher

Canadian Science Publishing

Subject

General Environmental Science,Civil and Structural Engineering

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