Using Machine Learning to Predict Production at a Peace River Thermal EOR Site

Abstract

Abstract When many daily measurements of a thermal EOR field are taken throughout production, it is not cost effective to manually interpret trends to update reservoir models, so we developed an automated data-driven approach for production prediction using machine learning techniques. This is a two-step scheme that first predicts auxilary field measurements from directly-controlled field settings, then uses these predicted field measurements to predict production. The full two-step prediction process needs further refinement, but the second step alone shows promise for aiding in automated interpretation of data. Time shifts from daily seismic surveys improved production predictions.