Analysis of the incidence in malignant neoplasms in firstdegree relatives of probands with glial brain tumors

Abstract

The article presents a simplified analytical method of evaluating the cancer incidence in first-degree relatives with glial brain tumors. The method is based on the use of population cancer incidence rates in the Belarus population and the estimated numbers of first-degree relatives in the time interval corresponding to the average life span in the Belarus population. This method was employed to analyze the cancer incidence in the patients of first-degree relatives who were treated at the N.N. Alexandrov National Cancer Centre. Their diagnosis was the glial brain tumor. The number of the investigated first-degree relatives was 1012, of them 502 were males and 510 – females. As of December 31, 2015, this group had 63 cases of malignant neoplasms. According to the findings of the analysis performed, the first-degree relatives are at an increased risk for brain, rectum, thyroid and corpus uteri cancers. However, the statistically significant risk was found only for brain cancer incidence. The standardized incidence rate in first-degree relatives was 3.39 for this site (95 % CI 1.10–7.92), which is consistent with the data obtained by specialists of other countries (USA, Sweden and others).The agreement of the standardized incidence values suggests that the simplified analytical method provides an adequate account of the incidence among the patients of first-degree relatives with an established diagnosis of malignant neoplasm.