The use of the WRF numerical weather forecasting model in mode ling emergency situations at Belarusian NPP

Abstract

The expediency of using Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) numerical weather forecast model as a source of meteorological data during modeling of radioactive substances transfer in the atmosphere is considered, WRF technical details are briefly described. As the reference emergency scenario, the scenario of the maximum design accident hypothetically occurring at Belarusian Nuclear Power Plant (BelNPP) 12 UTC 21.03.2021 was chosen. Four numerical experiments with Global Forecast System (GFS) and WRF meteorological data and RIMPUFF and LASAT atmospheric diffusion models were performed in JRODOS Decision Support Systems (DSS). For each experiment, maps of underlying surface potential radioactive contamination of I131 were created. The potential contamination of the underlying surface I131 from 5 to 100 km from the BelNPP was assessed. The dependency graph of the maximum underlying surface contamination with I131 on the distance from the BelNPP was plotted based on the experiments results. The obtained results indicate the prospects of using the WRF meteorological model in the DSS at various stages of the emergency situations development at the BelNPP.