Profiling of particulate matter transport flux based on dual-wavelength lidar and ensemble learning algorithm

Abstract

Transport flux (TF) is a significant particulate matter (PM) characteristic. This paper introduces an advanced dual-wavelength polarization aerosol and wind lidar (Wind Flux 3000) capable of independently observing the PM TF. The PM TF observation capability, which allows for simultaneous aerosol and wind measurements, was achieved by integrating a Mie-polarization particle lidar module and a coherent Doppler wind lidar module into a single lidar system. The primary measurement products of the Wind Flux 3000 include particulate extinction coefficient at 532 nm and 1550 nm, volume linear depolarization ratio at 532 nm (δp,532), wind speed (WS), wind direction (WD), vertical speed (VS), turbulence intensity (TI) and mixing layer height (MLH), retrieved by physical and proven algorithms. The PM concentration scales with the measured optical parameters and is also impacted by other environmental or meteorological parameters. Under the framework of the potential relationship between the PM concentration and the above parameters, the PM2.5 and PM10 concentration retrieval models were established using the stacking method of the ensemble learning technique; the models were trained using the in-situ data as true values, while the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) at 1550 nm, δp,532, WS, WD, VS, the standard deviation of VS, TI, MLH provided by the Wind Flux 3000, as well as the relative humidity and temperature from ERA5, the hours of the day, and a “dust day” flag were used as inputs. The R2, RMSE, and MAE for the comparison between the predicted and true values of the PM2.5 test set are 0.857, 13.52 µg · m- 3, 9.16 µg · m- 3, and those of the PM10 test set are 0.926, 24.75 µg · m- 3, 14.39 µg · m- 3, respectively. The performance of the PM2.5 and PM10 concentration retrieval ensemble models is better than that of individual machine learning algorithms and better than that of the linear model. On 15th March 2023, a strong southeastward dust transport process with dust plume deposition was observed at Qingdao by the Wind Flux 3000. The analyses of the dust event demonstrated the Wind Flux 3000's ability to evaluate the transports of PM quantitatively.