Do Pre-Registration and Pre-analysis Plans Reduce p-Hacking and Publication Bias?

Author:

Brodeur Abel,Cook Nikolai,Hartley Jonathan,Heyes Anthony

Abstract

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are increasingly prominent in economics, with pre-registration and pre-analysis plans (PAPs) promoted as important in ensuring the credibility of findings. We investigate whether these tools reduce the extent of p-hacking and publication bias by collecting and studying the universe of test statistics, 15,992 in total, from RCTs published in 15 leading economics journals from 2018 through 2021. In our primary analysis, we find no meaningful difference in the distribution of test statistics from pre-registered studies, compared to their non-pre-registered counterparts. However, pre-registered studies that have a complete PAP are significantly less p-hacked. These results point to the importance of PAPs, rather than pre-registration in itself, in ensuring credibility.

Publisher

Center for Open Science

Cited by 5 articles. 订阅此论文施引文献 订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献

1. Judging the relative trustworthiness of research results: How to do it and why it matters;Review of Education;2024-01-09

2. Unpacking p-Hacking and Publication Bias;American Economic Review;2023-11-01

3. Preregistration and Credibility of Clinical Trials*;2023-05-23

4. A practical guide to Registered Reports for economists;Journal of the Economic Science Association;2023-02-24

5. Ten Years of Ireland’s Behavioural Research Unit;Behavioral Public Policy in a Global Context;2023

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