Selecting CMIP6-Based Future Climate Scenarios for Impact and Adaptation Studies

Author:

Shiogama Hideo12,Ishizaki Noriko N.1,Hanasaki Naota1,Takahashi Kiyoshi1,Emori Seita1,Ito Rui34,Nakaegawa Toshiyuki4,Takayabu Izuru4,Hijioka Yasuaki1,Takayabu Yukari N.2,Shibuya Ryosuke2

Affiliation:

1. National Institute for Environmental Studies

2. Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, University of Tokyo

3. Japan Meteorological Business Support Center

4. Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency

Publisher

Meteorological Society of Japan

Subject

Atmospheric Science

Reference20 articles.

1. Cannon, A. L., 2015: Selecting GCM scenarios that span the range of changes in a multimodel ensemble: Application to CMIP5 climate extremes indices. J. Climate, 28, 1260-1267.

2. Frieler, K., S. Lange, F. Piontek, C. P. O. Reyer, J. Schewe, L. Warszawski, F. Zhao, L. Chini, S. Denvil, K. Emanuel, T. Geiger, K. Halladay, G. Hurtt, M. Mengel, D. Murakami, S. Ostberg, A. Popp, R. Riva, M. Stevanovic, T. Suzuki, J. Volkholz, E. Burke, P. Ciais, K. Ebi, T. D. Eddy, J. Elliott, E. Galbraith, S. N. Gosling, F. Hattermann, T. Hickler, J. Hinkel, C. Hof, V. Huber, J. Jägermeyr, V. Krysanova, R. Marcé, H. Müller Schmied, I. Mouratiadou, D. Pierson, D. P. Tittensor, R. Vautard, M. van Vliet, M. F. Biber, R. A. Betts, B. Ll Bodirsky, D. Deryng, S. Frolking, C. D. Jones, H. K. Lotze, H. Lotze-Campen, R. Sahajpal, K. Thonicke, H. Tian, and Y. Yamagata, 2017: Assessing the impacts of 1.5°C global warming – simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b). Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 4321-4345, doi:10.5194/gmd-10-4321-2017.

3. Hanasaki, N., K. Takahashi, Y. Hijioka, H. Kusaka, T. Iizumi, T. Ariga, K. Matsuhashi, and N. Mimura, 2014: Climate, population, and land use scenarios for climate change impacts and adaptation polices assessments in Japan (second edition). Environ. Sci., 27, 362-373, doi:10.11353/sesj.27.362. (in Japanese)

4. Ishizaki, N. N., M. Nishimori, T. Iizumi, H. Shiogama, N. Hanasaki, and K. Takahashi, 2020: Evaluation of two bias-correction methods for gridded climate scenarios over Japan. SOLA, 16, 80-85.

5. Ito, R., H. Shiogama, T. Nakaegawa, and I. Takayabu, 2020: Uncertainties in climate change projections covered by the ISIMIP and CORDEX model subsets from CMIP5. Geosci. Model Dev., 13, 859-872, doi:10.5194/gmd-13-859-2020.

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