Predictability of Stratospheric Sudden Warmings as Inferred from Ensemble Forecast Data: Intercomparison of 2001/02 and 2003/04 Winters

Author:

HIROOKA Toshihiko1,ICHIMARU Tomoko1,MUKOUGAWA Hitoshi2

Affiliation:

1. Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Kyushu University

2. Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University

Publisher

Meteorological Society of Japan

Subject

Atmospheric Science

Reference14 articles.

1. Andrews, D.G., J.R. Holton, and C.B. Leovy, 1987: Middle atmosphere dynamics, Elsevier, New York, 489 pp.

2. Christiansen, B., 2003: Temporal growth and vertical propagation of perturbations in the winter atmosphere. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 129, 1589-1605.

3. A Possible Influence of Equatorial Winds on the September 2002 Southern Hemisphere Sudden Warming Event

4. Ichimaru, T., T. Hirooka, and H. Mukougawa, 2007: Stratospheric sudden warmings in the winter of 2005/06 and the predictability. Meteor. Res. Notes, 216, 151-159. (in Japanese)

5. Japan Meteorological Agency, 2002: Outline of the operational numerical weather prediction at the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA). Appendix to WMO Numerical Weather Prediction Progress Report, JMA, Tokyo, 157 pp.

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