COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF NONLINEAR MODELS FOR PREDICTING RESIDUAL OPERATING LIFE AND OPERABILITY OF THE STRUCTURAL ELEMENTS OF RESIDENTIAL BUILDINGS

Abstract

A number of researchers are working on the creation of a general method for forecasting operability and residual life of engineering constructions of buildings and structures of different purposes using the models of nonlinear physical wear development. The authors analyzed two approaches to forecasting operability and estimating residual operating life of structural elements of residential houses using nonlinear models of the changes in physical wear of building structures basing on forecast logistic model. The description of the differences in the approaches to forecasting and advantages of one method compared to another are given. As a result of the conducted analysis the authors recommend the most accurate model for making predictions and estimation of residual operating life of building structures.