Comparison of TNM AJCC/UICC 8th with JES 11th staging systems for prognostic prediction in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma who underwent radical (chemo) radiotherapy in China

Abstract

Objective: The aim of the study was to compare the prognostic prediction performances of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC)/Union for International Cancer Control (UICC) 8th staging system and the Japan Esophageal Society (JES) 11th staging system for patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma who underwent radical (chemo) radiotherapy. Methods: In total, 574 patients were enrolled and categorized according to the tumor, node metastasis (TNM) AJCC/UICC 8th and JES 11th editions. Survival rates and disease-free survival were computed using the Kaplan–Meier technique. The log-rank test was used for survival difference analysis. Results: (1) The 8th AJCC/UICC N staging exhibited significant stratification for overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). JES 11th showed significant OS stratification, but PFS was not well-stratified for N2–N4. (2) Both staging systems demonstrated significant stratification for OS and PFS. (3) AJCC/UICC 8th TNM staging yielded significantly well-stratified OS and PFS in the differing staging group. JES 11th failed to stratify OS and PFS for stages III and IVA. (4) AJCC/UICC 8th TNM stratified OS and PFS significantly well for lower and middle region tumors, whereas JES 11th inadequately stratified stages III and IVA. (5) Significant multivariable analysis results indicated that AJCC/UICC 8th independently predicted poor OS and PFS. Conclusions: In Chinese patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma who underwent radical (chemo) radiotherapy, the AJCC/UICC 8th edition exhibited superior prognostic prediction capabilities compared with the JES 11th edition.