1. An improved model for predicting presidential election outcomes;Abramowitz;PS: Political Science and Politics,1988
2. When good forecasts go bad: The time-for-change model and the 2004 presidential election;Abramowitz;PS: Political Science and Politics,2004
3. Political cycles and the macroeconomy;Alesina,1997
4. Combining forecasts;Armstrong,2001
5. Standards and practices for forecasting;Armstrong,2001