Limitations of Ensemble Bayesian Model Averaging for forecasting social science problems

Author:

Graefe Andreas,Küchenhoff Helmut,Stierle Veronika,Riedl Bernhard

Publisher

Elsevier BV

Subject

Business and International Management

Reference30 articles.

1. Forecasting the 2008 presidential election with the time-for-change model;Abramowitz;PS: Political Science and Politics,2008

2. Combining forecasts;Armstrong,2001

3. Golden rule of forecasting: be conservative;Armstrong;Journal of Business Research,2014

4. Forecasting house prices in the 50 states using dynamic model averaging and dynamic model selection;Bork;International Journal of Forecasting,2015

5. The trial-heat forecast of the 2008 presidential vote: performance and value considerations in an open-seat election;Campbell;PS: Political Science and Politics,2008

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