On the Possibility of Non-Local and Local Oil Spills Striking the Shores of North Carolina and South Carolina

Abstract

Oil spills, the releases of liquid petroleum hydrocarbons into the marine environment, have occurred in the Gulf of Mexico (GOM) of the United States (U.S.A). However, no oil spills have ever affected the Eastern Atlantic Seaboard (EAS) of the U.S.A. Nonetheless, we demonstrate from data and numerical modeling that oil spills in the GOM have the potential to reach the U.S.A. EAS via a combination of atmospheric storms, major ocean currents and atmospheric wind driven surface currents. The basis for this hypothesis is that in August of 1987, a Karena Brevis toxin plant outbreak occurred in the GOM, and several weeks hence, showed up on the shores of North Carolina and South Carolina. We recreate that environmental scenario employing atmospheric and oceanic data from 1987, Sea Surface Temperature (SST) images, and via numerical modeling, that an atmospheric cold front, the combination of the Loop Current, the Florida Current, and Gulf Stream Frontal Filaments, created the pathways for the transport of K-Brevis plants from the Gulf to the U.S.A. EAS. Numerical model output of oil spill scenarios, both non-local in the GOM and local to the Carolinas, is presented to prove that this latter hypothesis has credibility and viability.