1. The Fletcher School, Tufts University, Medford, Massachusetts 02155;,
2. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria;
3. La Follette School of Public Affairs, University of Wisconsin, Madison, Wisconsin 53706;
4. Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, United Kingdom;