Author:
GHOSH HIMADRI,SARKAR K A,PRAJNESHU PRAJNESHU
Abstract
The aim of this study was to apply Fourier autoregressive (F-AR) model to describe and forecast asymmetric cyclical data. For carrying out statistical analysis, computer programs were developed using SAS, Ver. 9.2 software package. Twentysix years (1985–2010) quarterly oil sardine fish landings data (in tonnes) recorded at Central Marine Fisheries Research Institute, Kochi, India were used. Superiority of F- AR model over AR model was demonstrated by developing one-step ahead forecasts for two years’ hold-out data. Its potential use is to develop optimal import and export policies for Oil sardines. This type of information would also go a long way in enabling the Fishing industry in optimization of its resources. Efficient Oil sardine management strategies need to be evolved in order to allocate optimum number of boats and trawlers, etc.
Publisher
Indian Council of Agricultural Research, Directorate of Knowledge Management in Agriculture
Subject
General Veterinary,Animal Science and Zoology