Reconciling Macroeconomic Determinants with Stock Market Performance in Selected Sub-Saharan African Countries: an ARDL Approach

Author:

Arikewuyo Kareem AbidemiORCID, ,Adeyemi Akeem AdekunleORCID,Omodara Eunice TitilayoORCID,Yunusa Lateef AdewaleORCID, , ,

Abstract

Prior studies have adduced unstable macroeconomic factors to stock price movement overtime but the relationship between the duo remained unsettled. Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) technique was used to reconcile the macroeconomic determinants with performance of stock markets in selected Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) covering the period of 1999:1–2017:4. It was found that macroeconomic indicators were essential in determining stock market performance in Nigeria while South African stock market did not show any predictable linkage but the contemporaneous effect of oil price changes on stock market performance in selected SSA. The study, therefore, recommended that countries in SSA should reduce overdependence on oil to minimize external influence in order to promote stability of the stock markets.

Publisher

University of Warsaw

Subject

General Earth and Planetary Sciences

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1. Dynamic Effect of Exchange Rate Gap Shocks on Stock Market Deepening: Evidence from Nigeria;Central Bank of Nigeria Journal of Applied Statistics;2023

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