Construction of a predictive model for gastric cancer neuroaggression and clinical validation analysis: A single-center retrospective study

Abstract

BACKGROUND This study investigated the construction and clinical validation of a predictive model for neuroaggression in patients with gastric cancer. Gastric cancer is one of the most common malignant tumors in the world, and neuroinvasion is the key factor affecting the prognosis of patients. However, there is a lack of systematic analysis on the construction and clinical application of its prediction model. This study adopted a single-center retrospective study method, collected a large amount of clinical data, and applied statistics and machine learning technology to build and verify an effective prediction model for neuroaggression, with a view to providing scientific basis for clinical treatment decisions and improving the treatment effect and survival rate of patients with gastric cancer. AIM To investigate the value of a model based on clinical data, spectral computed tomography (CT) parameters and image omics characteristics for the preoperative prediction of nerve invasion in patients with gastric cancer. METHODS A retrospective analysis was performed on 80 gastric cancer patients who underwent preoperative energy spectrum CT at our hospital between January 2022 and August 2023, these patients were divided into a positive group and a negative group according to their pathological results. Clinicopathological data were collected, the energy spectrum parameters of primary gastric cancer lesions were measured, and single factor analysis was performed. A total of 214 image omics features were extracted from two-phase mixed energy images, and the features were screened by single factor analysis and a support vector machine. The variables with statistically significant differences were included in logistic regression analysis to construct a prediction model, and the performance of the model was evaluated using the subject working characteristic curve. RESULTS There were statistically significant differences in sex, carbohydrate antigen 199 expression, tumor thickness, Lauren classification and Borrmann classification between the two groups (all P < 0.05). Among the energy spectrum parameters, there were statistically significant differences in the single energy values (CT60-CT110 keV) at the arterial stage between the two groups (all P < 0.05) and statistically significant differences in CT values, iodide group values, standardized iodide group values and single energy values except CT80 keV at the portal vein stage between the two groups (all P < 0.05). The support vector machine model with the largest area under the curve was selected by image omics analysis, and its area under the curve, sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, P value and parameters were 0.843, 0.923, 0.714, 0.925, < 0.001, and c:g 2.64:10.56, respectively. Finally, based on the logistic regression algorithm, a clinical model, an energy spectrum CT model, an imaging model, a clinical + energy spectrum model, a clinical + imaging model, an energy spectrum + imaging model, and a clinical + energy spectrum + imaging model were established, among which the clinical + energy spectrum + imaging model had the best efficacy in diagnosing gastric cancer nerve invasion. The area under the curve, optimal threshold, Youden index, sensitivity and specificity were 0.927 (95%CI: 0.850-1.000), 0.879, 0.778, 0.778, and 1.000, respectively. CONCLUSION The combined model based on clinical features, spectral CT parameters and imaging data has good value for the preoperative prediction of gastric cancer neuroinvasion.