Preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio predicts symptomatic anastomotic leakage in elderly colon cancer patients: Multicenter propensity score-matched analysis

Abstract

BACKGROUND The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), a composite inflammatory biomarker, is associated with the prognosis in patients with colorectal tumors. However, whether the NLR can be used as a predictor of symptomatic postoperative anastomotic leakage (AL) in elderly patients with colon cancer is unclear. AIM To assess the role of the NLR in predicting the occurrence of symptomatic AL after surgery in elderly patients with colon cancer. METHODS Data from elderly colon cancer patients who underwent elective radical colectomy with anastomosis at three centers between 2018 and 2022 were retrospectively analyzed. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was performed to determine the best predictive cutoff value for the NLR. Twenty-two covariates were matched using a 1:1 propensity score matching method, and univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to determine risk factors for the development of postoperative AL. RESULTS Of the 577 patients included, 36 (6.2%) had symptomatic AL. The optimal cutoff value of the NLR for predicting AL was 2.66. After propensity score matching, the incidence of AL was significantly greater in the ≥ 2.66 NLR subgroup than in the < 2.66 NLR subgroup (11.5% vs 2.5%; P = 0.012). Univariate logistic regression analysis revealed statistically significant correlations between blood transfusion intraoperatively and within 2 d postoperatively, preoperative albumin concentration, preoperative prognostic nutritional index, and preoperative NLR and AL occurrence (P < 0.05); multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that an NLR ≥ 2.66 [odds ratio (OR) = 5.51; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.50-20.26; P = 0.010] and blood transfusion intraoperatively and within 2 d postoperatively (OR = 2.52; 95%CI: 0.88-7.25; P = 0.049) were risk factors for the occurrence of symptomatic AL. CONCLUSION A preoperative NLR ≥ 2.66 and blood transfusion intraoperatively and within 2 d postoperatively are associated with a higher incidence of postoperative symptomatic AL in elderly patients with colon cancer. The preoperative NLR has predictive value for postoperative symptomatic AL after elective surgery in elderly patients with colon cancer.