Współzależności globalne a kryzysy finansowe − przestrzenne efekty spillovers na rynku dziesięcioletnich obligacji skarbowych

Author:

Wleklińska DagnaORCID,

Abstract

Purpose – The purpose of the article is the assessment of the spatial spillover effects in the ten‑year treasury bond market. It was considered whether unfavorable changes in bond ratings could be a factor inducing this phenomenon. The distance between individual markets was quantified using a matrix based on economic distance. Research method – In the study the spatial dynamic models for pooled‑time series, cross‑sectional and panel data has been used. The analysis covers the yield to maturity of ten‑year treasury bonds issued by forty countries. Results – The empirical analysis confirmed the existence of statistically significant spatial dependencies, not only due to the statistical significance of the autoregressive parameter, but also the significance of the spatially shifted variable reflecting unfavorable changes in the rating. Originality / value / implications / recommendations – Extending the analyzes of the contagion phenomenon in the financial market to include the aspect of space provides an opportunity to better understand the patterns of cause and effect relationships that are important from the point of view of counteracting the systemic risk to which international economies are exposed.

Publisher

University of Bialystok

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