Rethinking Transportation 2020-2030: The Disruption of Transportation and the Collapse of the Internal-Combustion Vehicle and Oil Industries

Author:

Arbib James,Seba Tony

Abstract

By 2030, within 10 years of regulatory approval of Autonomous Vehicles (AVs), 95 percent of U.S. passenger miles traveled will be served by on-demand autonomous electric vehicles owned by fleets, not individuals, in a new business model we call “transport-as-a-service” (TaaS). Rethinking Transportation shows how TaaS disruption will have enormous implications across the transportation and oil industries, decimating entire portions of their value chains, causing oil demand and prices to plummet, and destroying trillions in investor value — but also creating trillions in new business opportunities, consumer surplus and GDP growth.

Publisher

RethinkX

Reference156 articles.

1. 1 Challer, Bruce. 2017. Turns out, Uber is clogging the streets. New York Daily News, February 27. Retrieved from https://www.nydailynews.com/2017/02/27/turns-out-uber-is-clogging-the-streets/.

2. 3 U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal Consumption Expenditures and Gross Domestic Product. Retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=hh3.

3. 5 Challer. 2017. Retrieved from https://www.nydailynews.com/2017/02/27/turns-out-uber-is-clogging-the-streets/.

4. 6 (Muoio, D. 2017. These 19 Companies Are Racing to Build Self-Driving Cars in The Next 5 Years. Business Insider UK, January 12. Retrieved from https://www.businessinsider.com/companies-making-driverless-cars-by-2020-2017-1?r=US&IR=T). (Stewart, J. 2016. Tesla's Self-Driving Car Plan Seems Insane, But It Just Might Work. Wired, October 24. Retrieved from https://www.wired.com/2016/10/teslas-self-driving-car-plan-seems-insane-just-might-work/). (Fortune. 2017. GM and Lyft Plan to Deploy Thousands of Self-Driving Chevy Bolts. February 17. Retrieved from https://fortune.com/2017/02/17/gm-lyft-chevy-bolt-fleet/) (Johnson, C. and Walker, J. 2016. Peak Car Ownership: Market Opportunity of Electric Automated Mobility Services. Rocky Mountain Institute. Retrieved from https://rmi.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/Mobility_PeakCarOwnership_Report2017.pdf).

5. 7 Source: US Bureau of Transport Statistics. 2001. National Household Travel Survey. Retrieved from https://www.rita.dot.gov/bts/sites/rita.dot.gov.bts/files/publications/highlights_of_the_2001_national_household_travel_survey/html/section_01.html.

Cited by 4 articles. 订阅此论文施引文献 订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3