On the diagnostics of the current state of the Russian economy and its medium-term growth prospects

Author:

Mironov V. V.1

Affiliation:

1. National Research University Higher School of Economics

Abstract

The article assesses the situation in the Russian economy after a two-year recovery and the outlined signs of stagnation associated with both the slowdown of the global economy and the exhaustion of domestic sources of improved market conditions. The approaches to identifying the factors that initiate growth and are different from the factors that support it are considered. In this case, emphasis was placed on the factors of uncertainty of the economic situation and the lack of domestic demand. The approaches to accelerating growth based on macroeconomic and structural policy measures are formulated, forecasts of the Russian economy dynamics for the coming years are analyzed.

Publisher

NP Voprosy Ekonomiki

Subject

Economics and Econometrics,Finance

Reference35 articles.

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2. Kortni Kh., Kerklend D., Vigeri P. (2002). Strategiya v usloviyakh neopredelennosti // Ekonomicheskie strategii. T. 4, № 6. S. 78—85. [Courtney H., Kirkland J., Viguerie P. (2002). Strategy under uncertainty. Ekonomicheskie Strategii, Vol. 4, No. 6, pp. 78—85. (In Russian).]

3. Mironov V. (2015). Rossiiskaya deval'vatsiya 2014—2015 gg.: padenie v propast' ili okno vozmozhnostei? // Voprosy ekonomiki. № 12. S. 5—31. [Mironov V. (2015). Russian devaluation in 2014—2015: Falling into the abyss or window of opportunities? Voprosy Ekonomiki, No. 12, pp. 5—31. (In Russian).] https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2015-12-5-31

4. Mironov V., Kanof'ev V. (2014). Grozyashchaya retsessiya i kak s nei borot'sya: empiricheskii analiz rossiiskikh realii i mirovogo opyta // Voprosy ekonomiki. № 1. S. 78—107. [Mironov V., Kanofyev V. (2014). Impending recession and how to fight it: Empirical analysis of Russian reality and global experience. Voprosy Ekonomiki, No. 1, pp. 78—107. (In Russian).] https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2014-1-78-107

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