Construction of the Forecasting Index for Stock Market

Author:

Rozhkov A.1

Affiliation:

1. State University - Higher School of Economics

Abstract

There are various methods of forecasting different parameters of stock market. One group of these methods deals with forecasting trends of integral parameters such as stock market indexes. This article considers some well-known index methods of forecasting stock market trends. At the same time the article contains a computation for construction of the forecasting index, which helps to identify prolonged trends of RTS index. The principles and recommendations proposed in the article can be used for practical purposes.

Publisher

NP Voprosy Ekonomiki

Subject

Economics and Econometrics,Finance

Reference26 articles.

1. Alekseenkova M. Faktory otraslevogo analiza dlya rossiiskoi perekhodnoi ekonomiki. Preprint. M.: GU-VShE , 2001.

2. Dorofeev E. Vliyanie kolebanii ekonomicheskikh faktorov na dinamiku rossiiskogo fondovogo rynka. M.: RPEI, 2000.

3. Rozhkov A. V nachale 2005 g. vozmozhen padayushchii trend // Rynok tsennykh bumag, 2005, № 3.

4. Rozhkov A. Indeks trendovogo prognozirovaniya: v kontse 2002 goda rynok aktsii ozhidaet traditsionnoe ralli // Rynok tsennykh bumag, 2002, № 23.

5. Rozhkov A. Indeks trendovogo prognozirovaniya: tendentsiya na fondovom rynke v nachale 2004 goda ostanetsya povyshatel'noi // Vestnik NAUFOR, 2004, fevral'.

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