Conversion to Glaucoma in Pediatric Glaucoma Suspects

Abstract

Précis: In this retrospective review of pediatric glaucoma suspects, 11.5% of eyes progressed to glaucoma over an average of 6.5 years; eyes with ocular hypertension had an 18-fold increased risk of progression compared with eyes with suspicious disc appearance. Purpose: The purpose of this study was to describe the rate of progression to glaucoma of a large cohort of pediatric glaucoma suspects at a quaternary academic center. Design: Retrospective case series Participants: One thousand three hundred seventy-five eyes (824 individuals) followed as pediatric glaucoma suspects at the Wilmer Eye Institute between 2005 and 2016. Methods: Retrospective study of pediatric patients monitored as glaucoma suspects at the Wilmer Eye Institute between 2005 and 2016. Main Outcome Measures: Progression to glaucoma, defined according to Childhood Glaucoma Research Network criteria or by surgical intervention; initiation of intraocular pressure-lowering therapy. Results: One hundred fifty-eight (11.5%) eyes from 109 unique patients met the criteria for conversion to glaucoma during follow-up; rates of conversion ranged between 34.1% for eyes monitored for ocular hypertension, 16.2% for eyes with prior lensectomy, 12.1% for eyes monitored for other ocular risk factors, 2.4% for eyes with suspicious disc appearance, and 0.4% for eyes monitored for systemic risk factors. The first criterion met for conversion to glaucoma was ocular hypertension in 149 eyes (94.3%) and enlarged cup-to-disc ratio (CDR) in 9 eyes (5.7%); the most common second criterion met was the enlargement of CDR since initial presentation (45 eyes, 28.5%), surgical intervention (33 eyes, 20.9%), visual field changes (21 eyes, 13.3%), and asymmetric CDR change compared with fellow eye (20 eyes, 12.7%). The Kaplan-Meier survival curves across the different indications for being monitored as a glaucoma suspect significantly differed (P<0.0001). Eyes being monitored for ocular hypertension had an 18-fold increased risk of conversion to glaucoma than those followed for suspicious disc appearance [hazard ratio (HR) 18.33, 95% CI, 10.05–33.41). Eyes monitored for prior lensectomy and for other ocular risk factors had a 6-fold and 5-fold increased risk of conversion to glaucoma than those followed for suspicious disc appearance, respectively (HR: 6.20, 95% CI, 3.66–10.51; HR: 5.43, 95% CI, 3.00–9.84). Eyes followed for ocular hypertension were nearly 4 times more likely to convert to glaucoma than those followed for prior lensectomy (HR: 3.72, 95% CI, 2.28–6.07). Conclusions: Eyes being followed as pediatric glaucoma suspects for ocular hypertension had higher rates of progression to glaucoma than eyes being monitored for prior lensectomy, other ocular risk factors, suspicious disc appearance, or systemic risk factors.