Perioperative Mortality of the COVID-19 Recovered Patient Compared to a Matched Control: A Multicenter Retrospective Cohort Study

Abstract

Background Surgical procedures performed on patients with recent exposure to COVID-19 infection have been associated with increased mortality risk in previous studies. Accordingly, elective surgery is often delayed after infection. The study aimed to compare 30-day hospital mortality and postoperative complications (acute kidney injury, pulmonary complications) of surgical patients with a previous COVID-19 infection to a matched cohort of patients without known previous COVID-19. The authors hypothesized that COVID-19 exposure would be associated with an increased mortality risk. Methods In this retrospective observational cohort study, patients presenting for elective inpatient surgery across a multicenter cohort of academic and community hospitals from April 2020 to April 2021 who had previously tested positive for COVID-19 were compared to controls who had received at least one previous COVID-19 test but without a known previous COVID-19–positive test. The cases were matched based on anthropometric data, institution, and comorbidities. Further, the outcomes were analyzed stratified by timing of a positive test result in relation to surgery. Results Thirty-day mortality occurred in 229 of 4,951 (4.6%) COVID-19–exposed patients and 122 of 4,951 (2.5%) controls. Acute kidney injury was observed in 172 of 1,814 (9.5%) exposed patients and 156 of 1,814 (8.6%) controls. Pulmonary complications were observed in 237 of 1,637 (14%) exposed patients and 164 of 1,637 (10%) controls. COVID-19 exposure was associated with an increased 30-day mortality risk (adjusted odds ratio, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.38 to 1.91) and an increased risk of pulmonary complications (1.60; 1.36 to 1.88), but was not associated with an increased risk of acute kidney injury (1.03; 0.87 to 1.22). Surgery within 2 weeks of infection was associated with a significantly increased risk of mortality and pulmonary complications, but that effect was nonsignificant after 2 weeks. Conclusions Patients with a positive test for COVID-19 before elective surgery early in the pandemic have an elevated risk of perioperative mortality and pulmonary complications but not acute kidney injury as compared to matched controls. The span of time from positive test to time of surgery affected the mortality and pulmonary risk, which subsided after 2 weeks. Editor’s Perspective What We Already Know about This Topic What This Article Tells Us That Is New