A deep-learning radiomics-based lymph node metastasis predictive model for pancreatic cancer: a diagnostic study

Abstract

Objectives: Preoperative lymph node (LN) status is essential in formulating the treatment strategy among pancreatic cancer patients. However, it is still challenging to evaluate the preoperative LN status precisely now. Methods: A multivariate model was established based on the multiview-guided two-stream convolution network (MTCN) radiomics algorithms, which focused on primary tumor and peri-tumor features. Regarding discriminative ability, survival fitting, and model accuracy, different models were compared. Results: Three hundred and sixty-three pancreatic cancer patients were divided in to train and test cohorts by 7:3. The modified MTCN (MTCN+) model was established based on age, CA125, MTCN scores, and radiologist judgement. The MTCN+ model outperformed the MTCN model and the artificial model in discriminative ability and model accuracy. [Train cohort area under curve (AUC): 0.823 vs. 0.793 vs. 0.592; train cohort accuracy (ACC): 76.1 vs. 74.4 vs. 56.7%; test cohort AUC: 0.815 vs. 0.749 vs. 0.640; test cohort ACC: 76.1 vs. 70.6 vs. 63.3%; external validation AUC: 0.854 vs. 0.792 vs. 0.542; external validation ACC: 71.4 vs. 67.9 vs. 53.5%]. The survivorship curves fitted well between actual LN status and predicted LN status regarding disease free survival and overall survival. Nevertheless, the MTCN+ model performed poorly in assessing the LN metastatic burden among the LN positive population. Notably, among the patients with small primary tumors, the MTCN+ model performed steadily as well (AUC: 0.823, ACC: 79.5%). Conclusions: A novel MTCN+ preoperative LN status predictive model was established and outperformed the artificial judgement and deep-learning radiomics judgement. Around 40% misdiagnosed patients judged by radiologists could be corrected. And the model could help precisely predict the survival prognosis.