Construction of an Early Risk Prediction Model for Type 2 Diabetic Peripheral Neuropathy Based on Random Forest

Abstract

Diabetic peripheral neuropathy is a major cause of disability and death in the later stages of diabetes. A retrospective chart review was performed using a hospital-based electronic medical record database to identify 1020 patients who met the criteria. The objective of this study was to explore and analyze the early risk factors for peripheral neuropathy in patients with type 2 diabetes, even in the absence of specific clinical symptoms or signs. Finally, the random forest algorithm was used to rank the influencing factors and construct a predictive model, and then the model performance was evaluated. Logistic regression analysis revealed that vitamin D plays a crucial protective role in preventing diabetic peripheral neuropathy. The top three risk factors with significant contributions to the model in the random forest algorithm eigenvalue ranking were glycosylated hemoglobin, disease duration, and vitamin D. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the model ware 0.90. The accuracy, precision, specificity, and sensitivity were 0.85, 0.83, 0.92, and 0.71, respectively. The predictive model, which is based on the random forest algorithm, is intended to support clinical decision-making by healthcare professionals and help them target timely interventions to key factors in early diabetic peripheral neuropathy.