Incidence and risk factors of graft-versus-host disease after liver transplantation: A national study 2010–2020

Abstract

Background: Graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) is a common complication of hematopoietic cell transplantation, and its incidence is low in liver transplantation (LT). Estimating the incidence of GVHD after LT is challenging due to the paucity of available data from the United Network for Organ Sharing. This is the first national analysis of the incidence and risk factors of GVHD after LT. Methods: This retrospective cohort study used the National Readmission Database to calculate the incidence rate of GVHD within 1 year of LT using survival analysis. The predictors of GVHD were identified using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Results: From 2010 to 2020, of 88,433 LTs, 383 cases of GVHD occurred within 1 year after LT, resulting in an incidence rate of 1.0% (95% CI: 0.8%–1.3%). We observed no statistically significant change in the incidence of GVHD after LT from 2010 to 2020 (beta-coefficient, −0.07%; 95% CI: −0.17% to 0.04%, p = 0.188). Interestingly, alcohol-associated liver disease was associated with a lower risk of GVHD (adjusted HR, 0.57; 95% CI: 0.36–0.91, p = 0.018), whereas a higher risk was found to be related to a secondary diagnosis of COVID-19 on index admission. Conclusion: Our study found that the incidence rate of GVHD within 1 year of LT in the United States was 1.0% and remained stable from 2010 to 2020. The predictors associated with GVHD include alcohol-associated liver disease and COVID-19. Our study provides valuable insights into the incidence, risk factors, and outcomes of GVHD after LT.