Recent trends in the incidence of early-onset prostate cancer

Abstract

Early-onset prostate cancer (EOPC) is relatively uncommon. It is unclear if the incidence of EOPC is evolving. Utilizing data from the SEER database from 2000 to 2020, the study identified prostate cancer cases in men under 55 years, focusing on trends in annual age-adjusted incidence rates (AAIR), stage at presentation, race/ethnicity, and local treatment patterns. The study encompassed 93 071 cases of EOPC, with the median age at diagnosis being 51 years. From 2000 to 2007, the AAIR of EOPC experienced a wave-like increase from 6.9 to 8.3 per 100 000 people. It then sharply declined to 5.4 by 2014, followed by 6 years of stability, and by 2020 it had dropped to its lowest point of 4.5. The trend observed across different racial groups was consistent with the overall pattern, where non-Hispanic Black patients consistently exhibited the highest incidence and the least reduction rate (annual percent change, −1.0; 95% confidence interval, −1.8 to −0.2; P < 0.05). Stage II was the most commonly diagnosed, although its AAIR declined from 4.9 to 1.2 per 100 000 people. From 2010 through 2020, the proportion of receiving prostatectomy decreased from 63.0 to 43.6%. The declining rates of EOPC across diverse racial groups emphasize the critical need for focused research and interventions. Specifically, there is an urgent call to establish a tailored screening protocol for prostate cancer targeting Black youth.