Prognostic Significance of 18F-FDG PET/CT Radiomics in Patients With Resectable Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma Undergoing Curative Surgery

Abstract

Purpose This study aimed to investigate the prognostic significance of PET/CT radiomics to predict overall survival (OS) in patients with resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Methods We enrolled 627 patients with resectable PDAC who underwent preoperative 18F-FDG PET/CT and subsequent curative surgery. Radiomics analysis of the PET/CT images for the primary tumor was performed using the Chang-Gung Image Texture Analysis toolbox. Radiomics features were subjected to least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression to select the most valuable imaging features of OS. The prognostic significance was evaluated by Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. Conventional PET parameters and LASSO score were assessed as predictive factors for OS by time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Results During a mean follow-up of 28.8 months, 378 patients (60.3%) died. In the multivariable Cox regression analysis, tumor differentiation, resection margin status, tumor stage, and LASSO score were independent prognostic factors for OS (HR, 1.753, 1.669, 2.655, and 2.946; all P < 0.001, respectively). The time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed that the LASSO score had better predictive performance for OS than conventional PET parameters. Conclusions The LASSO score using the 18F-FDG PET/CT radiomics of the primary tumor was the independent prognostic factor for predicting OS in patients with resectable PDAC and may be helpful in determining therapeutic and follow-up plans for these patients.