Simple Moving Average Applied to "ISO Method" CPAM Concentration Estimates: An Unexpected Result

Abstract

Abstract A surprisingly large amount of variance reduction has been observed when filtering International Organization for Standardization (ISO) “ISO Method” continuous particulate air monitor (CPAM) airborne radioactivity concentration estimates with a simple three-point moving average. This processing has relatively little lag relative to the amount of variance reduction obtained. The key factor producing this effect is the specific autocorrelation structure of the estimated concentrations, which are based on taking first differences of integrated-count data; this scheme results in successive count differences that contain a common count value between them. The observed variance reduction factor has also been derived analytically.